Web Survey Bibliography
Title Mode Effects in Electoral Polls: A Comparative Perspective
Author Durand, C.
Year 2016
Access date 02.06.2016
Abstract
During the last decade, Web and IVR (Interactive Voice Response) polls have spread in many countries and particularly in small markets where media outlets do not have the resources necessary to sponsor electoral polls conducted using “classical” modes. In addition, there is no incentive to put money in classical telephone polls if IVR or Web polls perform well and cost much less. But is it really the case? In this presentation, I analyze the performance of Web and IVR polls in various contexts, namely recent Canadian elections at the federal and provincial levels, the Scottish referendum of 2014 and the US election of 2012. I examine poll performance according to mode of administration on two aspects: a)systematic error, i.e., the capacity to forecast election results without bias, and b) random error, i.e., the level of variability in estimates, taking into account the sample size. I show that Web and IVR polls tend to have systematic bias that may – and should – be corrected in order not to mislead voters. IVR polls also tend to show substantial random error in specific contexts. In addition, bias is not always present so that we need to be able to identify which context and which specific methodological features are more likely to lead to bias. I examine these questions and conclude on how to correct bias, if possible, and, on the necessity to inform voters about the possible biases of the polls they are consulting.
Access/Direct link Conference Homepage (abstract)
Bibliographic typeConferences, workshops, tutorials, presentations
Web survey bibliography - Canada (100)
- Telephone versus Online Survey Modes for Election Studies: Comparing Canadian Public Opinion and Vote...; 2017; Breton, C.; Cutler, F.; Lachance, S.; Mierke-Zatwarnicki, A.
- The 2016 Canadian Census: An Innovative Wave Collection Methodology to Maximize Self-Response and Internet...; 2017; Mathieu, P.
- Gathering Opinions on Depression Information Needs and Preferences: Samples and Opinions in Clinic Versus...; 2017; Bernstein, M. T.; Walker, J. R.; Sexton, K. A.; Katz, A.; Beatie, B. E.
- A test of sample matching using a pseudo-web sample; 2017; Chatrchi, G., Gambino, J.
- Integration of a phone-based household travel survey and a web-based student travel survey; 2016; Verreault, H.; Morency, C.
- A streamlined approach to online linguistic surveys; 2016; Erlewine, M. Y.; Kotek, H.
- Population Survey Features and Response Rates: A Randomized Experiment; 2016; Guo, Y.; Kopec, J.; Cibere, J.; Li, L. C.; Goldsmith, C. H.
- Mode Effects in Electoral Polls: A Comparative Perspective ; 2016; Durand, C.
- Pitfalls, Potentials, and Ethics of Online Survey Research: LGBTQ and Other Marginalized and Hard-to...; 2016; McInroy, L. B.
- Mail merge can be used to create personalized questionnaires in complex surveys. ; 2016; Taljaard, M.; Chaudhry, S. H.; Brehaut, J. C.; Weijer, C.; Grimshaw, J. M.
- Internet-administered Health-related Quality of Life Questionnaires Compared With Pen and Paper in an...; 2016; Nitikman, M.; Mulpuri, K.; Reilly, C. W.
- What do web survey panel respondents answer when asked “Do you have any other comment?”; 2015; Schonlau, M.
- Explorations in Non - Probability Sampling Using the Web; 2015; Brick, J. M.
- On Bias Adjustments for Web Surveys; 2015; Fan, L.; Lou, W.; Landsman, V.
- Web panel surveys – a challenge for official statistics; 2015; Svensson, J.
- Estimation with Non-probability Surveys and the Question of External Validity; 2015; Dever, J. A.; Valliant, R. L.
- Measurement Properties of Web Surveys; 2015; Tourangeau, R.
- Using Web Panels for Official Statistics; 2014; Bethlehem, J.
- Do Web surveys facilitate reporting less favourable opinions about law enforcement?; 2014; Boivin, R., Cordeau, G.
- Evaluating a Web-based health risk assessment with tailored feedback: What does an expert focus group...; 2014; Vosbergen, S., Mahieu, G. R. Laan, E. K., Kraaijenhagen, R. A., Jaspers, M. W. M., Peek, N.
- Considerations for Conducting Web-Based Survey Research With People Living With Human Immunodeficiency...; 2014; O'Brien, K. K., Solomon, P., Worthington, C., Ibánieez-Carrasco, F., Baxter, L., Nixon, S. A., Baltzer...
- African-American breast cancer survivors’ preferences for various types of physical activity interventions...; 2014; Paxton, R., Nayak, P., Taylor, W., Chang, S., Courneya, K., Schover, L., Hodges, K., Jones, L.
- Measuring Mobile Phone Use: Self-Report Versus Log Data; 2013; Boase, J., Ling, R.
- Does the first impression count? Examining the effect of the welcome screen design on the response rate...; 2013; Haer, R., Meidert, N.
- Recruitment of Sex Buyers: A Comparison of the Efficacy of Conventional and Computer Network-Based Approaches...; 2013; Kolar, K., Atchison, C.
- Effects of Gamification on Participation and Data Quality in a Real-World Market Research Domain ; 2013; Cechanowicz, J., Gutwin, C., Brownell, B., Goodfellow, L.
- The Impact of News Photos on Support for Military Action; 2013; Soroka, S.; Loewen, P.; Fournier, P.; Rubenson, D.
- Identifying the real differences of opinion in social media sentiment; 2013; Pettit, A.
- Co-creation with TickiT: Designing and evaluating a clinical eHealth platform for youth; 2013; Whitehouse, S. R.
- Foster strengths and circumvent weaknesses: Advantages and disadvantages of online versus face-to-face...; 2013; Qiu, M., McDougall, D.
- 4 ways mobile research challenges insights pros; 2013; Rajan, B.
- Thoughts on using the new online qualitative tools; 2013; Freund, N. M.
- Optimizing quality of response through adaptive survey designs; 2013; Schouten, B., Calinescu, M., Luiten, A.
- Customer loyalty to a commercial website: Descriptive meta-analysis of the empirical literature and...; 2013; Toufaily, E., Ricard, L., Perrien, J.
- Discovering interest groups for marketing in virtual communities: An integrated approach; 2013; Wang, K.-Y., Wu, H.-J., Ting, I.-H.
- Multimode, Global Scale Usage: Understanding respondent scale usage across borders and devices; 2013; Pettit, F. A., Courtright, M.
- Insights into Action Profiling shopping occasions for retailers through mobile and online research; 2013; Churkina, O., Morris, T.
- Recent Experiences with Electronic Questionnaire Testing at Statistics Canada ; 2013; Lawrence, D.
- A nationwide web-based freight data collection; 2013; Samimi, A., Mohammadian, A., Kawamura, K.
- Use of a Social Networking Web Site for Recruiting Canadian Youth for Medical Research; 2013; Chu, J. L., Snider, C. E.
- P02.04. Internet survey confirms strong interest in Yoga among fibromyalgia patients; 2012; Carson, J., Bennett, R., Jones, K., Mist, S.
- Approaches to empiric ablation of slow pathway: results from the Canadian EP web survey; 2012; Laish-Farkash, A., Shurrab, M., Tiong, I., Verma, A., Amit, G., Kiss, A., Morriello, F., Singh, S.,...
- Biting the Hand and Bending the Rules: An IJMR Presentation; 2012; Pettit, A.
- Mixed Mode: Phone and Web Discussion on Efficient Strategies; 2012; Gagnon, M.
- Survey Quality; 2012; Lyberg, L. E.
- Adaptive web sampling in ecology; 2012; Thompson, S. K.
- Respondent-driven sampling; 2012; Schonlau, M., Liebau, E.
- Firefly Online Surveys: A fully featured tool for Web surveys and forums; 2012; Deal, K.
- Where is Neutral? Using Negativity Biases to Interpret Thermometer Scores; 2012; Soroka, S., Albaugh, Q.
- Online and Paper-Based: A Mixed-Method Approach to Conducting a Needs Assessment Survey of Physicians...; 2012; Olatunbosun, T., Wu, C., Grewal, G., Lynn, B.